Today ~8 kWh adjusted 12°/19°C· sun 07:18 → 17:34 Tomorrow ~32 kWh forecast 14°/21°C details →

Weather & PV forecast

updated 16:46 ·-33.98, 22.51 · 10.54 kWp × 72% eff
Today
~8 kWh
raw 11 → adjusted 8 (0.74× from 8.2/11 so far)
Tomorrow
~32 kWh
14°/21°C · 11.6 MJ/m² GHI
Thu 21 May
~32 kWh
12°/22°C · 12 MJ/m² GHI
Fri 22 May
~19 kWh
12°/20°C · 9 MJ/m² GHI

Site cloud calibration

Learned from the last 30 days of (POA-modelled kWh) ÷ (actual DC kWh), bucketed by cloud-cover %. Likely shedding hours (SOC≥99% & no export) are excluded so the curve reflects what the panels could deliver, not what the inverter chose to absorb. Last run 19 May 16:16.

Cloud 0–19%
0.95×
71 hours
Cloud 20–39%
0.97×
23 hours
Cloud 40–59%
0.74×
27 hours
Cloud 60–79%
0.50×
12 hours
Cloud 80–100%
0.73×
69 hours

Hourly irradiance + temperature (next 5 days)

Solid amber = expected solar irradiance (W/m²) at the panel orientation; violet = ambient temperature (°C). Cloudy hours visibly knock down the irradiance.

Hourly cloud cover (next 5 days)

Predicted PV power (next 5 days)

Hourly kW after Hay-Davies POA, site cloud calibration, NOCT cell-temp derating, and your SystemEfficiency × kWp.

Today
11 kWh
Wed 20 May
31.6 kWh
Thu 21 May
32.2 kWh
Fri 22 May
19.2 kWh
Sat 23 May
32.4 kWh

Backtest — 7 complete days ending 18 May 2026 · model vs actual

Today is excluded. Walking back from yesterday, the page picks the most recent 7 days where the inverter was online for at least 22 of 24 hours (frames present for TotalDCInputPower); incomplete days (storm outages etc.) are skipped and the next earlier day is fetched instead. For each picked day, Open-Meteo's archive supplies observed irradiance, the same kWh model is applied (MJ/m² × 0.278 × 10.54 kWp × 0.72), and compared to daily_summary.production_kwh.

Skipped: 12 May (system offline ≥ 2 h).

Model accuracy
99.5%
1 − |predicted − potential| ÷ predicted
Predicted
206.9 kWh
POA × temp-derate × kWp × eff
Potential
205.9 kWh
actual + estimated shed
Model calibration
0.99×
suggested SystemEfficiency ≈ 0.72
PV shed (period)
43 kWh
hours w/ SOC≥99% · no export · DC well below model
Potential (act + shed)
205.9 kWh
what your panels could have delivered
Shed share
20.9%
of total potential — fixable with a controllable load
Shed value
R 147
at R3.43/kWh — cost-equivalent of shed energy
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